Canada Changing

climate crisis, conservative party, democracy and good government, polls

If you haven’t heard of WorldChanging, you should check it out. It’s a positive, solutions-based blog, primarily about environmental and other issues regarding our collective survival.

I mention it today because they’ve just started a short series called CanadaChanging, where they’ll be looking at the progress our country is making. Or, as they put it, “Canada, while by no means a global leader in sustainability overall, does have enough candles burning to be worth a look.”

Oh stop, you’re making us blush.

It’s interesting to note that a recent poll “identified global warming, the environment, pollution and the need for new energy technologies as leading concerns for Canadians.” In contrast, only 10% of respondents ranked health care as the number one challenge for Canada in the near future.

Now here’s the million dollar question: If most Canadians believe that the climate crisis is our greatest challenge, how come we elected a government that didn’t even use the word “climate” or the phrase “global warming” in their entire election platform?

To be honest, I’m a little baffled (though I do have one or two theories that likely have something to do with it).

Please Stop Keeping Your Promises

conservative party, economy, foreign affairs, ndp

As a form of entertainment, I subscribe to the e-newsletters of the status quo parties. Seriously, it can actually be funny. Like this week, when the NDP Conservative parties swapped election slogans. (The NDP sent out an email promising to “Stand Up for Canada” while the Conservatives are now getting “real results,” presumably for “real people.”) Maybe it’s some kind of exchange program.

Anyway, the latest Conservative email highlights three of their kept promises. Reader willing, I’d like to deal with them seriatim.

1. GST Cut
I don’t want to spend a lot of time on this, because there’s no shortage of economists who recognize that cutting consumption tax (as opposed to income tax) is bad economic policy, including the IMF and the OECD (not to mention the powerful Tim Hortons Think Tank). Our individual savings will be insignificant, and the GST cut is worth more to those with high-income.

Where cutting sales tax increases consumption (which is another way of saying increases the rate at which we take stuff from the Earth and turn it into waste), cutting income tax encourages saving and investment. You can then apply those income tax cuts to resource consumption, which discourages waste and inefficiency. In short, that’s what the we mean by “green tax shift.” (Unfortunately, the government has also raised income tax, so they’re doing the exact opposite.)

At the Rosedale United Church debate during the last election I was asked to explain our green tax shift policy, and in response the Conservative candidate said that he felt it was generally a good idea and that it was something his government would support. Either he didn’t understand my party’s platform or his own — I’m not sure which.

2. Increased Military Funding
I actually do think our military has been neglected for too long. For example, we still have it in our head’s that we’re the world’s peacekeepers, when in reality we’re not even in the top ten. And if we want to ask Canadians to put their lives on the line, the least we can do is make sure they have the tools they need to do the job.

Unfortunately, the Conservative plan gets the priorities for military spending all wrong. The plan’s two most expensive items by far are $8.3 billion for airlift capability, and $4.7 billion for 16 helicopters. The first item refers to the purchase of some heavy-lift aircraft used in transporting our troops and equipment around the world. The reason it’s a bad idea is because we’ve been able to rent our transport needs for a fraction of the cost. It’s a bit like buying a car instead of renting, even though you only use it to go to the cottage a few times a year. It’s not an effective use of military resources.

The second item is even less wise, since helicopters are primarily used to fight submarines. And you don’t have to be a military expert to know that submarines are probably not the number one threat to Canada right now.

Instead, we should be focusing on building a strong army capable of intervening in places like Darfur. We also might want to look into measures to protect our water, and give some thought to what the world’s going to look like when the phenomenon of eco-refuge really starts to take off.

3. Transit Pass Tax Credit
This isn’t a bad idea (it was actually part of our platform as well), but in a vacuum of any other action is almost useless.

Here’s the problem. Public transit is already almost the cheapest way to get around (second only to biking or walking), while driving is almost the most expensive (second only to being carried around by four professional football players on a sedan chair made of gold). The monthly parking rate in my office building is around $470 (almost 5x the cost of a TTC metropass), and people drive single-occupancy SUVs and mini-vans to work everyday. Once you’ve paid for the car, insurance, and gas, you’re looking at over $1000/month to drive to work! Even people in less offensive cars with access to cheaper parking are paying way more than someone who takes transit every day. Does anyone other than the government really think that a tax credit is going to speak to these folks?

Even if it did, there’s another problem (one that would have been identified by our minister of transportation if he’d taken transit recently). The subways are full. The commuter trains are full. Giving people a tax credit to ride transit when there isn’t any room makes about as much sense as giving out daycare money when there aren’t any daycare spaces.

Oh wait.

No Water For Oil!

climate crisis, energy, water

Ok, so it doesn’t have quite the same ring to it as “no blood for oil,” but it’s becoming the rallying cry for a cause that’s very serious and very close to home.

If you’ve got Insider Edition access to theglobeandmail.com, or if you can get your hands on a hard copy, read Jeffrey Simpson today. In a column titled Alberta’s tar sands are soaking up too much water, he outlines concerns that the Green Party and others have been raising for some time.

In summary, it takes anywhere from 2 to 4.5 barrels of water to extract and refine one barrel of oil from the Alberta tar sands. That province, which is already one of most dry provinces in Canada, is using more than 7% of their water on the oil and gas industry. (Oh, and funny story, that’s made worse by the fact that they’re also losing glaciers and snow packs faster than I lose elections. How’s that for ironic?)

So that’s a problem. To say nothing of the acids (yes McBain, real acid), mercury, and other toxins that are left over after the oil is separated from the bitumen, sand, and other residue. Not to mention all the other reasons that continuing to increase oil extraction and consumption is a bad idea, including Peak Oil (we’re gonna run out of the stuff…) and the Climate Crisis (…unless we wipe ourselves out first).

And it’s not just airhuggers who are worried. The Pembina Institute released a 154 page study a few months ago reaching the same conclusions, and even the Canada West Foundation thinks it’s maybe not such a good idea for the government of Alberta to be practically giving this water away for free.

In the mean time, I’m open to other clever slogan ideas. So far I’ve got “make love, not pools of toxic sludge,” and “all we are saying is give renewables a chance.” They could use some work.

Will Someday Come Soon Enough?

climate crisis, green party

In 2004, the Green Party of Canada ran on the election slogan “Someday is Now.” It was a way of speaking to the many people who want to support the Green Party someday, just not “this time.” They’re going to wait until we have a chance, or until things get really bad.

Of course, the first condition is circular. People won’t vote for us until we have a chance, and we won’t have a chance until people vote for us (unless they vote for this first). As for the second condition, it’s already been met, even if it’s not yet tangible.

It’s never been a question of if the Green Party will be elected. The question is if we’ll get elected in time.

In time for what is another question. More and more scientists are of the opinion that global warming has become a self-sustaining reaction and can’t be stopped, and Stephen Hawking is suggesting that we give up on this planet and find a new one. In that case, our job will shift from averting disaster to dealing with it.

In his new book, Thomas Homer Dixon argues that, while he believes a total global collapse is avoidable, a number of smaller collapses have become inevitable and will fundamentally change the way we live. The good news is that this presents an opportunity for what he calls catagenesis: a chance to rebuild these systems from the ground up, exploiting all the things we wish we knew then.

At a breakfast forum a month ago, I introduced myself to Tad (that’s what his friends call him, you see) as a former candidate and asked how he thought that idea could be presented in a way that would be politically popular and earn votes. He responded that he sees very little chance of voters showing any desire to deal with these problems until they’re already upon us. Once we’re in the middle of it, he says, will be the real opportunity for political ingenuity and problem solving.

This Canada Day weekend, the Dominion Institute and The Toronto Star published an essay by Andrew Cohen imagining what Canada will look like in 2020. The good news? Cohen predicts the Green Party will form a government as soon as 2012. The bad news? The main reason is that’s when “global warming began to wreak havoc.”

So, I’ll meet you in Ottawa in six years. Dress lightly, bring sunscreen.